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  • Break

    Rydges Hotel 75 Featherson Street, Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand

  • The Illusion of Certainty

    Rydges Hotel – Space 1 & 2 75 Featherson Street, Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand

    Cost-benefit analysis can reduce complex public choices to a single number, ratio or preferred option. That discipline is useful, but it can make decisions seem more certain than they are. This talk looks beneath the result, asking how much confidence decision-makers should place in it and how assumptions about the problem, counterfactual, forecasts, distribution, discounting […]

  • Welcome

    Rydges Hotel – Space 1 & 2 75 Featherson Street, Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand

  • Discussion

    Rydges Hotel – Space 1 & 2 75 Featherson Street, Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand

    Discussion around:

  • Lunch

    Rydges Hotel 75 Featherson Street, Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand

  • Walk to the National Library

    National Library of New Zealand Te Puna Mātauranga o Aotearoa 70 Molesworth Street Thorndon, Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand

  • Walk to Parliament Buildings

    Parliamentary Buildings 1 Molesworth Street, Pipitea, Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand

  • Tour of Parliament

    Parliamentary Buildings 1 Molesworth Street, Pipitea, Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand

  • Walk Back to Hotel

    Rydges Hotel 75 Featherson Street, Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand

  • Welcome

    Rydges Hotel – Space 1 & 2 75 Featherson Street, Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand